Why I Voted Obama

October 30th, 2008 by aarondietz

1. Because I believe McCain plans to continue fighting in Iraq for as long as he can. Even Bush is looking at exit possibilities. McCain wants us there permanently. Obama’s withdrawal plan won’t happen as it was written, but at least he’ll focus on having a plan.

2. Because it will be awesome to have a president that knows how to use the Internet to communicate.

3. Because Obama has demonstrated a deeper understanding of the issues than any Democrat hopeful in a long time.

4. Because other countries love him. This will be more and more important if things get worse for the U.S.

5. Because he’s creative, and knows how to surround himself with creative people.

6. Because many closet racists will freak out. And I think this will be healthier than pretending racism doesn’t exist.

7. Because he’s skinny. As a skinny male, I’m hoping he makes skinny masculinity the new popular thing.

8. Because he’s convincing. I have no faith in the Democrats, but I’ve become convinced Obama is for real.

9. Because none of the third parties have a chance of getting 5%. If Obama works out, I’ll be sad that a third party has to wait until 2016, but we can’t afford to wait until 2012 even. I’m taking a chance on Obama – NOT on the Democrats, although they are obviously helped by this vote. To 2016, independents! We have 8 years to plan a massive movement, and Obama has given us the example of how to do it.

10. Because Obama will support Internet neutrality, which will eventually enable us to build a movement that doesn’t depend on either big party.

I’m calling West Virginia for Bob Barr

October 29th, 2008 by aarondietz

Captain Avenger pointed me to a terrific video of a county clerk demonstrating the complete fallibility of the ES&S voting machines in West Virginia. Thanks, Captain Avenger!

The moral of the story: be mindful of the stupid voting machine. Make sure it’s recording things right, and always check the paper trail. Best of luck.

I will call you and remind you to vote

October 28th, 2008 by aarondietz

Seriously. If you haven’t voted yet, I’ll call you on election day.

Just get me your phone number.

If you prefer a text, that makes two of us. But I’ll call if you want.

Education – Not what you think, and highly irrelevant

October 27th, 2008 by aarondietz

I’m a little interested in figuring out why people in certain states tend to vote one way. So, I decided to compare RCP’s current poll averages with states’ ranks in education. I wanted to be able to explain something. Anything.

Conclusion

Hard to say (the data is below). 50 is a small sample size, but this is how it shapes up, whether it’s conclusive or not.
:: Obama leads in the polls of 9 of the 10 smartest states.
:: 14 of McCain’s 21 states are in the bottom half in education.

Perhaps this is just an indication of the likelihood of people feeling an affinity with their candidates. Obama and Biden survived grad school. McCain and Palin never went. You may have seen this breakdown already:

Barack Obama
Occidental College (2 years)
Columbia University, B.A.
Harvard, Juris Doctor magna cum laude

Joe Biden
University of Delaware, B.A. double-major – rank 506 of 688
Syracuse, Juris Doctor

John McCain
U.S. Naval Academy – rank 894 or 899

Sarah Palin
Hawaii Pacific College (1 semester)
North Idaho community college (2 semesters general studies)
University of Idaho (2 semesters)
Matanuska-Susitna community college (1 term)
University of Idaho (3 semesters), degree in communications-journalism

And since it’s only fair:

Aaron Dietz
Iowa State University (2 semesters)
Metro State College of Denver (2 classes)
Antioch University Seattle (6 quarters), B.A. Arts & Literature
GPA: 3.0 or so (but I wasn’t graded at Antioch)
Total time in school: 2.5 years.

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State Education Score RCP Poll Spread Candidate
Vermont 18.57 -21.5 Obama
Massachusetts 16.09 -23.7 Obama
Connecticut 14.46 -19.3 Obama
New Jersey 14.35 -18.0 Obama
Maine 10.79 -16.2 Obama
Virginia 10.07 -7.3 Obama
Montana 9.55 3.3 McCain
Wisconsin 9.04 -10.6 Obama
Iowa 8.82 -11.4 Obama
Pennsylvania 8.69 -10.8 Obama
Nebraska 6.4 18.7 McCain
New Hampshire 5.9 -7.7 Obama
Minnesota 5.33 -11.3 Obama
Rhode Island 4.31 -22.7 Obama
Kansas 4.27 12.0 McCain
New York 3.66 -29.7 Obama
South Dakota 3.25 9.0 McCain
Maryland 2.27 -23.0 Obama
Wyoming 1.35 21.0 McCain
Idaho 1.29 39.0 McCain
North Dakota 0.95 4.0 McCain
Missouri 0.94 -0.6 Obama
North Carolina 0.84 -1.6 Obama
Indiana 0.06 -0.3 Obama
Texas -0.11 13.6 McCain
South Carolina -1.19 15.0 McCain
Colorado -1.32 -6.2 Obama
Delaware -2.47 -17.6 Obama
Florida -2.9 -2.7 Obama
Tennessee -3.01 14.0 McCain
Kentucky -3.24 12.4 McCain
Arkansas -3.44 11.8 McCain
Washington -3.85 -16.7 Obama
Ohio -4 -6.3 Obama
Illinois -4.32 -23.5 Obama
Oklahoma -5.81 29.0 McCain
West Virginia -5.82 8.0 McCain
Utah -6.3 36.4 McCain
Michigan -6.43 -17.0 Obama
Oregon -6.87 -15.2 Obama
Georgia -6.92 5.3 McCain
Hawaii -9.31 -41.0 Obama
New Mexico -10.6 -8.4 Obama
Louisiana -10.95 15.6 McCain
Alabama -11 23.7 McCain
Alaska -11.91 15.0 McCain
California -13.1 -24.7 Obama
Mississippi -14.78 10.3 McCain
Nevada -15.81 -3.5 Obama
Arizona -17.61 6.0 McCain

In case you’re wondering, McCain won the coin flip and got to be the positive numbers.

Obama 306, McCain 157

October 27th, 2008 by aarondietz

No, 306-157 is not the score of a long pickup basketball game between the Obama and McCain campaigns. It’s the projected electoral totals, by “one of the more conservative electoral maps you can find,” according to Mighty Rex.

That means Obama is projected at having enough electoral votes to win.

But don’t get too excited, Obama fans. Forecast: a 100% chance of voter suppression.

It’s going to be close. No one should be resting. Volunteer, blog, or just keep talking about it. It’s all going to help.

Which Presidential Candidate is More Creative?

October 22nd, 2008 by aarondietz

The U.S. has major problems. These problems are going to need creative solutions if we’re going to see positive change within the next four years, or even within the next decade.

Which candidate is more likely to consistently produce creative solutions to problems? Let’s consider the presidential candidates’ campaigns….

(Candidates get credit for the creativity of their staff because good presidents know how to surround themselves with creative people.)

Obama took his campaign overseas in an actual demonstration of his desire to generate positive relationships with the rest of the world.

McCain has essentially adopted the same strategy that’s been around for decades now: exploit differences in people.

Obama bought ads in video games.

McCain can’t seem to think of anything more creative at this stage than smear tactics.

Obama
has used modern technology in original and unprecedented ways (for presidential campaigns, anyway), including text messaging.

McCain has admitted to having trouble just using a computer (source and source).

Obama’s most creative gambit? It’s too hard to choose between them.

McCain’s most creative gambit? Telling everyone he was suspending his campaign so that he could have an interview with Katie Couric.

Subjective Summary: Obama seems to have beaten McCain to all the good ideas. And though Obama has a larger budget (probably due to his creative relationship building online apparatus), there really isn’t anything he’s done that McCain couldn’t have done first, if only McCain had thought of it.

My position: Obama and the people he surrounds himself with are far more creative than McCain and his staff.

P.S. Obama gets bonus points for inspiring creativity in others, such as the folks who put together the attempt at a million dollar minute, and of course, the incredibly cheesy (but still a decent idea) Yes We Can YouTube video.

Which Candidate will Support Net Neutrality?

October 20th, 2008 by aarondietz

Net Neutrality: A Brief Summary

As we all know (because we’re so smart), net neutrality means we get equal access to Internet resources regardless of the source, ownership, or destination.

Getting rid of net neutrality is a way that Internet providers can direct your browsing toward all kinds of evils, including more advertising and limitations on what you can viably access.

Want to go to a site that isn’t connected to AT&T, Verizon, Comcast, or Time Warner? If net neutrality disappears, you’ll probably have to pay more for that. Possibly, what you want could be blocked altogether.

McCain opposes net neutrality. He wants to let the free market sort the matter out.

Obama supports net neutrality. He wants to preserve the principle of net neutrality to ensure that the person with the best idea will have an equal chance of sharing it.

Commentary

McCain: The free market wisely engineered our economic situation so well over the last few decades. Let’s give it another shot.

Obama: Without the Internet, I couldn’t have made it this far as a presidential candidate. You better believe I’ll protect it.

Voter Supression Fun Facts!

October 15th, 2008 by aarondietz

There are many ways in which votes are suppressed, both intentionally and unintentionally.

1. Bogus information is distributed. Example: An anonymous flier warned that people with outstanding arrest warrants or even unpaid traffic tickets might be arrested at the polls. 2nd Example: Voters that filled out a voter registration according to the instructions apparently filled out the registration incorrectly.

2. Voter residencies are challenged. Example: A GOP plan to use foreclosure lists to limit voting despite the fact that a foreclosure notice doesn’t mean the resident has moved out.

3. Machines don’t record votes accurately. Example: Polls in Ohio in 2004 recorded far fewer totals than were realistically expected. I won’t even bother telling you what was happening frequently in Florida that year.

4. Voter registrations are removed from the list. If this is done in the last 90 days before an election, it is illegal. Example: Nine states (many of them swing states) are potentially illegally removing voters from their registration lists.

5. Polling places don’t schedule enough hours or get enough machines for everyone to vote. Example: Ohio in 2004 documented many polling places with too few resources to get the job done.

How to Fight Back

If you are wrongfully denied your right to vote, they will not figure it out later. If you are not able to resolve the problem by the time your poll closes, your vote will not be counted. Here’s how to fight back.

1. For electronic ballot voters, make sure the summary of your vote at the end records your actual votes. Sometimes, for unexplained reasons, some machines switch your votes to other candidates, or simply drop them altogether.

2. If you are challenged, don’t give up. At the very least: as long as you’re arguing with the challengers, they won’t have time to challenge anyone else.

3. Assume the challenger is a stupid jerk. They don’t know shit. Get their name and what reason they have for denying your vote. Then proceed to step 4.

4. Use technology. Find someone with an iPhone nearby and ask them to look up the phone numbers of your county’s election office. If that doesn’t work, find the names of election officials and get their phone numbers. Keep calling people until someone acquiesces.

5. Use witnesses. Go to the polls with friends. After your friends have voted, ask them to speak in your defense. One supposed foreclosure on a list doesn’t mean jack, legally. Four witnesses who say you live in a house is significant. At the very least, a lot more people will notice five people arguing than one person arguing. This might make people upset enough to join you. A whole district against one polling official? It could work.

6. Threaten to call the press. If all else fails, emphatically state that you have the right to vote, and since the polling place is denying your right, you will report this to the press.

7. Call the press. When you call them, be sure to share the facts: particularly that you are being wrongfully denied your right to vote. You must be calm and collected, or they’ll drop you. If you seem reasonably intelligent and appear to have facts that support your case, you might have a shot.

8. Support others’ right to vote! Defend them after your vote has been cast, but don’t obstruct the voting of others while you do this. If you are working at a polling place, you do not have to close the
polling place when you are supposedly supposed to close – the people that show up to the polls before closing time have the right to vote, so extend your hours at least long enough to let those that made it in time cast their ballot.

Time to Make Sure You’re Registered to Vote

October 9th, 2008 by aarondietz

Now is the time to make sure you are registered to vote at your current
place of residence. Many counties will confirm this on the Web.

Now is the time to make sure you are signed up for that absentee ballot.

Now
is the time to make sure you know where your polling place is if you’re not voting absentee (and get
this information from your county’s election office–do not trust
random mail addressed to you).

Now is the time to make sure
you have scheduled enough time to vote if you’re not sending in an
absentee ballot (Vote early! Many polls will be jammed with newly
registered voters and may not have the capacity to serve everyone!)

Note: the address in the screenshot is not your polling place. It’s my polling
place. It’s also a confirmation that the election commission for my
county has the right information. For me. This is not confirmation for
you. You need to get your own confirmation. Now. Just in case.

Coming soon: Voter Suppression Fun Facts!

Quick Notes on the Debate, and More….

October 8th, 2008 by aarondietz

I’ve read a bunch of great stuff lately, so I’m not going to blog, so much as spit out a few thoughts on the debate and then link to some good stuff, in case you’re eager for good political reading.

On the debate:

Wait, McCain is still claiming that he suspended his campaign to help put together the bailout package? Apparently not enough people have seen this or are aware that his campaign ran 1300 commercials that day. (Oh, and about the bailout – from AIG to the bailout being all about commercial paper – I’m just going to leave it alone for now….)

And what’s this about McCain’s “across the board spending freeze”? Is McCain crazy? I thought we were trying to put confidence back into the economy, not freak the crap out of investors.

Other terrific blogs of late:

Mighty Rex’s last half-dozen or so blogs, starting with Why You Should Vote For McCain

H’s blogs on Health Care and Religion (send her a message with a friend request so you can read them)

Karsten’s quick and poignant thoughts on the last debate

Daggatt’s Obama Factoids (highlight: 93% of Obama’s donations have been amounts of $200 or less)

Open Secrets’ publicizing of the fact that overseas troops gave six times more money to Obama than McCain

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